Budget 2026: Slim Pickings For the Rural Sector
In advance of the Budget, Finance Minister Nicola Willis put a clear damper on expectations and delivered accordingly.
Fonterra's lifting of the current season payout to $6.15/kgMS highlights the revival in the fortunes of dairy farms, says Federated Farmers.
The favourable forecast wasn’t unexpected and reflects the recent trend of increasing global dairy prices, which has fostered more confidence amongst the markets.
“This is great news and comes after a turbulent few years where the industry has been under the pump,” says Andrew Hoggard, Federated Farmers dairy chair.
Based on Fonterra’s forecast and current production cycles, about $280 million dollars is expected to flow through the New Zealand dairy sector and provincial communities this season.
“If you take on board the amount of milk we are producing at present this means the average dairy farm will be about $23,000 dollars better off.
“This will enable farmers to invest in their business and farm infrastructure, which has perhaps not been a priority in the past two years in trying to survive the challenging times.
“We’ll also have more money to [spend on achieving] our environmental goals, the focus for many farmers in spite of modest returns from their businesses.”
NZ dairying employs at least 40,000 workers and contributes much to regional economic development.
“The regional economies and service centres will also be boosted as farmers prepare to spend again, now they are more certaint about their businesses.”
Fonterra’s predicted payout of $6.50/kgMS would mean a further $650m going into provincial economies.
In advance of the Budget, Finance Minister Nicola Willis put a clear damper on expectations and delivered accordingly.
Farmers should be cautiously optimistic as the 2026/27 season kicks off, says DairyNZ.
RaboResearch senior analyst Emma Higgins expects the 2026/27 dairy season to be another profitable one.
The new dairy season is kicking off with plenty of risks to the forecast farmgate price, both upside and downside, says ANZ agricultural economist Matt Dilly.
A potential showdown between the top two Federated Farmers leaders looms at the farmer lobby's annual meeting later this month.
FarmIQ Systems has developed a free land management app to help remove barriers to New Zealand farmers and growers adopting digital tools.