Fonterra shaves 50c off forecast milk price
Fonterra has dropped its forecast milk price mid-point by 50c as a surge in global milk production is putting downward pressure on commodity prices.
Strong demand from China for whole milk powder has triggered another rise in Fonterra’s farmgate milk price.
The co-op has increased the midpoint of its forecast range, which farmers are paid off, by 20c to $7/kgMS. This follows a 40c lift in October.
Fonterra chief executive Miles Hurrell says as a result of strong demand for New Zealand dairy, the co-op has narrowed and lifted the bottom end of the forecast farmgate milk price range from $6.30 - $7.30/kgMS to $6.70 - $7.30/kgMS.
“This means the midpoint of the range, which farmers are paid off, has increased to $7/kgMS,” he says.
“China is continuing to recover well from COVID-19 and this is reflected in recent Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auctions with strong demand from Chinese buyers, especially for Whole Milk Powder, which is a key driver of the milk price.
“The impact of COVID-19 continues to play out globally, and we continue to have a watchful eye on the increasing Northern Hemisphere milk production and New Zealand dollar.
“However, we have contracted a good proportion of our sales book for this time of the season, which has given us the confidence to narrow and lift the bottom end of the forecast Farmgate Milk Price range.
“Our forecasts would see the co-op contribute around NZD $10.5 billion to the New Zealand economy this year.”
Federated Farmers says it is cautiously welcoming signals from the Government that a major shake-up of local government is on its way.
Ashburton cropping and dairy farmer Matthew Paton has been elected to the board of rural services company, Ruralco.
The global agricultural landscape has entered a new phase where geopolitics – not only traditional market forces – will dictate agricultural trade flows, prices, and production decisions.
National Lamb Day is set to return in 2026 with organisers saying the celebrations will be bigger than ever.
Fonterra has dropped its forecast milk price mid-point by 50c as a surge in global milk production is putting downward pressure on commodity prices.
The chance of a $10-plus milk price for this season appears to be depleting.