Strong production, tested demand send milk prices crashing
Strong global milk production and rebalancing of demand among key buyers has delivered one of the biggest drops in whole milk powder prices in recent years.
Having sold most of its milk for the 2020/21 season, Fonterra says it is now in a position to narrow this season’s range - from $7.30 - $7.90/ kgMS to $7.45 - $7.65/kgMS.
Chief executive Hurrell says, at a mid-point of $7.55/kgMS , 2020/21 would be the second year in a row with the forecast farmgate milk price above $7/kgMS.
Hurrell says since March, global dairy prices have settled, somewhat.
“This is why we have revised our midpoint down 5 cents.”
He referred to the “extraordinary” March Global Dairy Trade (GDT) event, where prices jumped 15% and contributed to the increase in its forecast 2020/21 farmgate milk price range.
Back in March, the average price for whole milk powder was over US$4,350/metric tonne. In the last three GDT events, however, the average price has reduced to close to US$4,100/metric tonne. And GDT butter prices have gone from almost US$6,000 per metric tonne to below US$5,000 per metric tonne for the first time since January, Hurrell notes.
