Strong production, tested demand send milk prices crashing
Strong global milk production and rebalancing of demand among key buyers has delivered one of the biggest drops in whole milk powder prices in recent years.
Economists aren't too excited about last week’s 2.2% overall lift in the Global Dairy Trade price index.
Anne Boniface, Westpac senior economist, says there was a 2.5% lift in whole milk powder prices, while butter and AMF prices also rose, partially unwinding the big falls seen in the previous auction. But the lift did not fully unwind the weaker dairy prices through November.
“Local conditions for most dairy farmers remain very favourable, and strong momentum in New Zealand milk production likely continued in November.”
Westpac is picking a $6.10/kgMS milk price for the season. “As we’ve noted previously, this forecast continues to assume we see a modest improvement in dairy prices in early 2019, with the risk of a further downward revision if this fails to eventuate in the coming months.”
ASB’s senior rural economist Nathan Penny says the rise snapped a run of seven consecutive falls.
“Nonetheless, we are suspicious. First, the rise is similar to falls in the US currency over the past fortnight. In particular, the Chinese yuan has lifted, making the USD-priced products cheaper for Chinese buyers.”
According to the most recent Rabobank Rural Confidence Survey, farmer confidence has inched higher, reaching its second highest reading in the last decade.
From 1 October, new livestock movement restrictions will be introduced in parts of Central Otago dealing with infected possums spreading bovine TB to livestock.
Phoebe Scherer, a technical manager from the Bay of Plenty, has won the 2025 Young Grower of the Year national title.
The Fencing Contractors Association of New Zealand (FCANZ) celebrated the best of the best at the 2025 Fencing Industry Awards, providing the opportunity to honour both rising talent and industry stalwarts.
Award-winning boutique cheese company, Cranky Goat Ltd has gone into voluntary liquidation.
As an independent review of the National Pest Management Plan for TB finds the goal of complete eradication by 2055 is still valide, feedback is being sought on how to finish the job.