fbpx
Print this page
Wednesday, 10 June 2015 09:06

Synlait sets $5.50 forecast

Written by 
Synlait. Synlait.

Synlait Milk has set a forecast milk price for the upcoming 2015/2016 dairy season of $5.50/kgMS, saying they have confidence that commodity prices will recover.

"Despite the small recovery in commodity prices we saw earlier this year, the market has not delivered the stability we had hoped for," says managing director John Penno.

"We're very aware of how financially tough this current season is for our suppliers. We are confident commodity prices will recover over time and our 2015/2016 forecast milk price assumes we will see the beginning of this recovery from the current low prices.

"The global oversupply is being met by soft demand across the board. This creates a lot of uncertainty in an already volatile market, so it will remain a fragile environment for the immediate future."

Factors contributing to the global oversupply include Russia's ban on dairy imports, the removal of dairy quotas in Europe and low demand from China, says Penno.

"The important thing with our 2015/2016 forecast is the associated cash flow our suppliers will receive through advance rates."

Penno says Synlait has deliberately started advance rates higher than usual to assist farmers with cash flows through the early spring. They will return to normal levels based on the forecast milk price soon after.

"Our suppliers' needs are front of mind and we're keeping a very close eye on the market to make the most informed decisions we can."

Synlait has also revised the forecast milk price for the current 2014/2015 season down from a range of $4.50 - $4.70/kgMS to a range of $4.40 - $4.60/ kgMS. Retrospective payments to suppliers for the current season remain unchanged until the final payment in October.

Synlait expects to announce the final milk price for the 2014/2015 season in late September, along with an update to the 2015/2016 forecast milk price and advance rates.

More like this

Featured

Pāmu Opens Farm Gates for Summer Open Farm Days

State farmer Pāmu is opening its farm gates this summer in an effort to give the rural sector the opportunity to see how large-scale, multi-system farming is delivering productivity and profitability across New Zealand.

DairyNZ: Waikato Farmers Need Certainty on PC1 Rules

DairyNZ says Waikato farmers need certainty on Plan Change 1, but they say that certainty must be matched with practical, workable rules and a clear transition that doesn't get ahead of the new resource management system currently under review.

National

Machinery & Products