Lolly scramble, back door deals and political opportunism hits Northland

 VIPs from both parties are scrambling to shore up votes in a by-election sparked by the resignation of former National Northland MP Mike Sabin, who resigned on January 30, just five months after being re-elected in the 2014 general election.

The flood of high-profile politicians started at the end of February when the Minister for Primary Industries, Nathan Guy, and Labour spokesman for Primary Industries Damien O’Connor visited the Northland Field Days on the second day of the event to support their Northern candidates, Mark Osborne and Willow Jean Prime, respectively.

Visitors to the field days say the visit was so brief and so hastily organised that Guy had to ask where the party’s site was and no media were on hand to cover the visit.

New Zealand First leader Winston Peters made his own flying visit on Saturday February 28, some media claiming he there made known his intention to run for the seat.

In what would normally be a safe National seat, there could be growing support for Peters. Recent polls put Northland’s son slightly ahead of, or at least even with, the Northland National candidate Osborne.

One fertiliser rep refers to a shift away from National by farmers he has talked to in the last three weeks; half of his clients have said they would likely vote for Osborne and half said probably Peters. This was a major shift away from the public feeling in August 2014 when almost everybody he talked to said they would vote for the former National MP, Mike Sabin.

Both New Zealand First and the National Party have foreshadowed transport initiatives but rural voters have doubts about both plans.

While farmers in the region are concerned about transport, sources say farmers weren’t convinced the Government would follow through with funding, pointing to examples as recent as promised spending on flood damaged roads. 

“Some people have asked what constitutes the Government’s definition of ‘fixed’ when it comes to some of those roads.”

Meanwhile, few believe Peters can or will achieve anything if he is successful. In fact, many view the Auckland-based lifetime politician’s decision to stand in the electorate as pure political opportunism by the NZ First leader; his party has not bothered to stand a candidate in the Northland electorate since 2005.

As an opposition MP, Peters will have little influence on the current Government and the only thing he is likely to achieve is to bring in another NZ First list MP. But this will not benefit Northland; next on NZ First’s list is Southland hairdresser Ria Bond.

The exact nature and timing of Sabin’s resignation is another point of contention; rural voters are disappointed by the lack of information on the reasons for his resignation and by the length of time the party may have known about it.