$8 final milk price likely
An $8/kgMS farm gate milk price is still on the cards with less than six weeks left to run this season.
Fonterra Cooperative Group Ltd increased its 2016/17 forecast farmgate milk price by 50 cents to $5.25/kgMS.
When combined with the forecast earnings per share range for the 2017 financial year of 50 to 60 cents, the total payout available to farmers in the current season is forecast to be $5.75 to $5.85/lgMS before retentions.
Chairman John Wilson says since the cooperative last reviewed its forecast milk price in August, global milk supply has continued to reduce and demand has remained stable.
“Milk production in key dairying regions globally is reducing in response to low milk prices,” he says.
“Milk production in the EU for 2016 is beginning to flatten out and our New Zealand milk collection is currently more than 3% lower than last season.
“While we have seen some improvement in GDT auction prices recently, the high NZD/USD exchange rate is offsetting some of these gains.
“There is still volatility in global dairy markets and we will continue to keep our forecast updated for our farmers over the coming months.”
Trade Minister Todd McClay says New Zealand has no intention of backing down in a trade dispute with Canada over dairy products.
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Horticulture NZ chief executive Nadine Tunley will step down in August.
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