Fonterra slashes forecast milk price, again
Fonterra has slashed another 50c off its milk price forecast as global milk flows shows no sign of easing.
The last time the milk price was this high, many farmers fed cows more feed, produced more milk but made no more money.
Fonterra recently announced a forecast milk price range for the coming season of $7.25 to $8.75 per kgMS, with a midpoint of $8.00 per kgMS.
This makes the prospect of producing a lot of milk very tempting. In many cases, taking advantage of one of the few times when milk price reaches this kind of height simply makes sense.
Those of us who have been around for a while can remember the last time that the milk price went high. While some farmers were able to capitialise on the high milk price by producing more milk economically, many farmers fed more feed, produced more milk, but made no extra money. What was the difference between those who made money and those who didn’t? There were three main things that the more profitable farmers did that the others failed to do. They:
Kept feed costs under control.
There is a huge temptation to spend more money when you have more money. We tend to think that more is best. The farmers who made a lot of money during the last high payout were the ones who didn’t give into temptation of feeding a lot of high-cost feed (e.g. expensive meals or high cost protein feeds). They stuck to feeding low priced energy feeds like maize silage and PKE (which was a lot cheaper at the time than it is now). Cows can produce their body weight in milk solids in systems that feed pasture, maize silage and PKE, and farmers can keep their feed costs under control.
Many farmers grew more maize silage on farm or a run-off. Farmers buying in feed kept costs under control by planning and contracting feed requirements early. They made sure they were not exposed to high spot prices that inevitably come when milk price rises. Farmers buying in maize silage placed early contracts with contract growers to ensure they had the feed they needed at a price which was agreeable to both parties.
Didn’t give into temptation with other costs.
Farmers who made high profits during the high payout tended to keep other costs under control. Animal health costs often soar when the payout is high. This is because the people who sell these inputs can be even more aggressive during high payout years, promising that product X, Y or Z will give cows the lift they need to produce extra milk. While these products may work and production increases, they still may not be economic to feed. Likewise, more of a good thing doesn’t necessarily mean more profit. This is especially true for minerals. A recent AgFirst Waikato newsletter says, “We have seen many situations where the in-shed feeding mix is formulated to meet cow mineral requirements, but the farmer is adding additional minerals in some other form (e.g. through the feed-out wagon or pasture dusting). This adds cost and, in a few cases, can increase the risk of animal health issues.”
Didn’t forget grass
Some farmers feeding supplements take their eyes off good pasture management. Good pasture managers tend to make more profit by making sure that:
Maize silage is still one the best feeds to have on hand in high payout years simply because if you need it, it is there to be used. Likewise, if for whatever reason you don’t need it, it can stay in the stack for when you do need it.
Ian Williams is a Pioneer forage specialist. Contact him at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
|
A landmark moment for New Zealand. That's how Prime Minister Christopher Luxon describes the conclusion of negotiations for an India-New Zealand Free Trade Agreement. Beef Progeny Test 2025: Genetic insights for NZ beef industryAt Pāmu’s Kepler Farm in Manapouri, mating has wrapped up at the across-breed Beef Progeny Test. HortNZ celebrates 20 YearsMore than 150 people turned up at Parliament recently to celebrate the 20th anniversary of Horticulture New Zealand (HortNZ). Biosecurity NZ urges vigilance for yellow-legged hornetsBiosecurity New Zealand says Kiwis should continue to keep an eye out for yellow-legged hornets (Vespa velutina) over the holiday season. Mental Health and Fitness Unite: The Push-Up Challenge comes to New ZealandThe Push-Up Challenge, an event which combines mental health and fitness, is set to launch in New Zealand in 2026. Agritechnica 2025: Claas, Fendt and Valtra claim 2026 Tractor of the Year AwardsLast month's Agritechnica event led to a wide group of manufacturers celebrating successes when the 2026 Tractor of the Year Competition winners, selected by a panel of European journalists, were announced in Hanover Germany. NationalFonterra capital return could boost GDP – ANZ ReportThe Fonterra divestment capital return should provide “a tailwind to GDP growth” next year, according to a new ANZ NZ report,…Fonterra upgrades Eltham cheese production for global growthFonterra's Eltham site in Taranaki is stepping up its global impact with an upgrade to its processed cheese production lines,…Michelle Pye elected to Fonterra boardCanterbury farmer Michelle Pye has been elected to Fonterra’s board for a three-year term.Government plan to scrap regional councils faces criticismGovernment plans to get rid of regional councillors shows a lack of understanding of the fundamental problem affecting all of…Lactose to join fat and protein in Fonterra milk price modelFor over 20 years, Whakatane farmer Gerard Van Beek has been attending Fonterra annual general meetings with the same message…Machinery & ProductsCase IH Unveils New RB6 Round Balers & 2026 Square Baler UpgradesCase IH has released details of its all-new round balers and redesigns to its large square balers aimed at increasing…How to Improve Milking Efficiency in Swing-Over Herringbone ShedsThe swing-over herringbone is the most common dairy type in New Zealand, used on 69% of dairy farms. Simple changes…Claas Jaguar 1000 Series sets new forage harvesting world recordThe recently released Claas Jaguar 1000 Series has seen its flagship 1200 set a new official Guiness World Record in…CB Norwood appoints John Skurr as new general managerCB Norwood Distributors Limited has announced the appointment of John Skurr to the position of general manager.AIMER, Bovonic and Herd-i join forces to advance NZ dairy techThree New Zealand agritech companies are set to join forces to help unlock the full potential of technology. |