Glut in global milk supply keeping prices down
The final Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction has delivered bad news for dairy farmers.
Expectation is a powerful force in commodity markets. Show buyers a correction is due and they’ll reduce demand, precipitating the predicted fall.
Last week Rabobank released its quarterly dairy report saying “the strength of the recent rally is hard to justify on current fundamentals.” It came out the day before the latest GDT event, at which the index dived 8.8%. Rabobank’s global reach and status means most GDT bidders would have read the report. The expectation for a correction was set, and sure enough, the market delivered. Of course, the fundamentals were out there anyway so prices were likely to ease regardless of the report, but probably not nearly as sharply. Thanks Rabo: great report; lousy timing.
According to the latest Federated Farmers banking survey, farmers are more satisfied with their bank and less under pressure, however, the sector is well short of confidence levels seen last decade.
Farmer confidence has taken a slight dip according to the final Rabobank rural confidence survey for the year.
Former Agriculture Minister and Otaki farmer Nathan Guy has been appointed New Zealand’s Special Agricultural Trade Envoy (SATE).
Alliance Group has commissioned a new heat pump system at its Mataura processing plant in Southland.
Fonterra has slashed another 50c off its milk price forecast as global milk flows shows no sign of easing.
Meat processors are hopeful that the additional 15% tariff on lamb exports to the US will also come off.