Strong production, tested demand send milk prices crashing
Strong global milk production and rebalancing of demand among key buyers has delivered one of the biggest drops in whole milk powder prices in recent years.
Fonterra is maintaining its 2022-23 forecast farmgate milk price range of $8.50–$10/kgMS.
The co-op is also forecasting 2023 normalised earnings guidance of 45-60c/share.
Fonterra chief executive Miles Hurrell says the longer-term outlook for dairy remains positive.
“And in the medium-term, we expect to see an easing in some of the geopolitical events, namely the Covid-19 lockdowns in China and the economic challenges in Sri Lanka.
“This has been reflected in our earnings guidance and forecast farmgate milk price for the 2022/23 season.”
Hurrell says the co-op continues to monitor a number of risks.
“The strength of our balance sheet means we remain in a strong position to weather uncertainty and market volatility.
“Our ability to refocus our product mix through our diverse and flexible operations footprint means the co-op’s milk will continue to be delivered to wherever the most value can be obtained for our farmer owners.
“The future for our co-op is exciting,” says Hurrell.
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