Data released this week by the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ) shows there were 50 fewer farm sales for the three months ended May 2022 than for the same period in 2021.
That's the view of Real Estate Institute rural spokesperson Brian Peacocke. However, he says such land must have good soil, the right contours and a sustainable water supply.
Peacocke says water is key and in Northland a new water scheme will certainly foster more horticultural development.
"In the Waikato we are seeing a spill over from the Bay of Plenty in terms of demand," he told Rural News. "Alternatively, some of the well-established horticulturalists in the Waikato are expanding their operations and that is to kiwifruit, whereas Northland will be a mixture of kiwifruit and avocados.”
Just recently, Zespri announced that it is halving the number of hectares for SunGold kiwifruit this year and Peacocke believes this is likely to result in record prices being paid for land in areas where kiwifruit can be grown.
He says, last year, prices were around $550,000 per hectare, but says this year it could be up around $700,000.
Peacocke reckons the days of dairy conversions are pretty much done.
He says there are multiple reasons for this including the cost and difficulty of getting a resource consent to do this, availability of water and other environmental issues. He says people wishing to convert lower classes of pastoral land will struggle to gain a consent – given the way that regional councils have classified land use.
“It’s easier to come down a land use category, rather than trying to go up one,” he explains.
According to Peacocke, good dairy farms in prime areas are being sold as dairy farms, whereas in some of the fringe dairy areas there is evidence of a change of land use. He says some marginal dairy farms are going back to beef or heifer grazing dairy support. In some of the country that’s further back, more remote or inhospitable, there’s a move into trees and some land that may be integrated into trees.
“The trend of larger farming operations absorbing small neighbouring blocks is continuing and there are now very few small dairy farms left.”
Peacocke says the demand for good dairy support land is significant and often this land is fetching higher prices than actual dairy farmland.