Thursday, 05 November 2020 17:26

Covid cloud hanging but China demand strong

Written by 

Covid-related uncertainty continues to affect global dairy markets but strong demand from China is helping New Zealand farmers.


Fonterra chief executive Miles Hurrell says milk powders are proving resilient.


This allowed the co-op to recently increase the mid-point of the forecast farmgate milk price range to $6.80/kgMS.


“As it’s still relatively early in the season and we know a lot can change, we’ve still got a range of plus or minus 50 cents,” he told Fonterra’s annual meeting in Masterton today.


But there are some unknowns: how exchange rates will play out, milk supply from the EU and US and how Covid behaves globally.


Hurrell says obviously, the higher milk price puts extra pressure on Fonterra earnings but he says the co-op remains confident in its forecast earnings range is 20 – 35 cents per share.


“There are a few key assumptions that we’ve built into this forecast that are worth being aware of.


“The first is that we’ll see Asia and Greater China driving an improved trading performance as COVID-19 restrictions ease.


“The second assumption is that we’ll have lower financing costs and less significant one-off items, like impairments.


“And we are also assuming that we won’t see the same kind of price relativities between reference and non-reference products in Ingredients as we did in the second half of 2020 when the milk price softened.


“Whether or not these assumptions eventuate is not 100% certain.”


Hurrell says the co-op must stay on strategy, being agile and drawing on strengths across the supply chain to manage and adapt to changes around the globe.

More like this

Crackdown on Chinese use of Zespri IP

Authorities in China have clamped down on companies in that country which have been packaging and selling their own local fruit under the Zespri brand.

Featured

Feds back Fast-Track Approval Bill

Federated Farmers is throwing its support behind the Fast-track Approvals Bill introduced by the Coalition Government to enable a fast-track decision-making process for infrastructure and development projects.

Machinery builder in liquidation

In what appears to be a casualty of the downturn in the agricultural sector, a well-known machinery brand is now in the hands of liquidators and owing creditors $6.6 million.

Two hemispheres tied together through cows

One of New Zealand’s deepest breeder Jersey herds – known for its enduring connection through cattle with the UK’s longest reigning monarch, Queen Elizabeth II – will host its 75th anniversary celebration sale on-farm on April 22.

National

Ploughing Champs success

Sean Leslie and Casey Tilson from Middlemarch, with horses Beau and Dough, took out the Rural News Horse Plough award…

Farmers oppose work visa changes

Farmers are crying foul over changes announced by the Government this week to the Accredited Employer Work Visa (AEWV) scheme.

Machinery & Products

PM opens new Power Farming facility

Morrinsville based Power Farming Group has launched a flagship New Zealand facility in partnership with global construction manufacturer JCB Construction.

AGTEK and ARGO part ways

After 12 years of representing the Landini and McCormick brands in New Zealand, Bay of Plenty-based AGTEK and the brands’…

100 years of Farmall Tractors

Returning after an enforced break, the Wheat and Wheels Rally will take place on the Lauriston -Barhill Road, North-East of…

» Latest Print Issues Online

The Hound

Crazy

OPINION: Your canine crusader was truly impressed by the almost unanimous support given by politicians of all stripes in Parliament…

More!

OPINION: As this old mutt suggested in the last issue, MPI looks a very good candidate for some serious public…

» Connect with Rural News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter