Government Declares Medium-Scale Adverse Weather Event in Bay of Plenty, Gisborne/Tairāwhiti, and Canterbury
Recent weather events in the Bay of Plenty, Gisborne/Tairawhiti, and Canterbury have been declared a medium-scale adverse event.
Prolonged dry weather will have mixed effects on commodity prices, says ASB senior rural economist Nathan Penny.
For dairy, the drought will put upward pressure on prices as milk production will fall.
“Currently, we forecast 2019-20 production to be flat on 2018-19, but we are reviewing this forecast next week,” says Penny.
The big dry is already depressing lamb prices as farmers bring forward and increase slaughter of stock due to a lack of feed, putting more lamb on the market.
However, Penny says a hot summer can often boost production levels in the horticulture sector: this could see prices fall.
The Government last week declared an adverse event for Northland, where dry weather is causing feed issues for farmers.
Penny says other regions may soon see an official declaration too.
“The Waikato, Bay of Plenty, Taranaki and the northern part of the South Island are also very dry. Moreover, weather forecasts show little sign of short-term rain relief in these areas,” he says.
In terms of commodity price impacts, the drought will have mixed effects by sector. For dairy, For meat prices, the drought is having a depressing impact as farmers bring forward or increase slaughter due to a lack of feed. Already, lamb prices have fallen more than they do normally at this time of year. Meanwhile, a
Federated Farmers says the Government’s latest investment in road resilience is a positive step toward protecting rural communities and freight routes from increasing severe weather events.
The stockfood storage capacity of J Swap Stockfoods continues to grow in the South Island with the opening of a new store that boosts its capacity in Christchurch and work starting on another store in Southland.
Fonterra has lifted and narrowed its full year forecast earnings range to 60-70 cents per share after a strong quarter, supported by robust milk production, strong shipment volumes and continued demand across its Ingredients and Foodservice businesses.
Fonterra has announced it will continue with the planned expansion of its organic business into the South Island.
New Zealand farmers have been told they all have amazing people on their farms and have been urged to be “that one person” that can make a huge difference to those going through tough times.
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