Monday, 13 March 2017 15:40

Farmer confidence up — survey

Written by 
Federated Farmers president Dr William Rolleston. Federated Farmers president Dr William Rolleston.

Farmers’ confidence in the economy and their own businesses improved in Federated Farmers mid-season Farm Confidence Survey, released today.

The survey, undertaken by leading agricultural market researchers Research First, had the following overall findings:

- Farmers’ confidence in the general economy has improved, but remains in slightly negative territory (net score of -2.0).

- For the first time in three years, farmers’ net confidence in the profitability of their farms is positive (net score of +15.5).

- Farmers’ production expectations have increased slightly (net score of +16.8), although this overall increase is carried by dairy farmers, who are the only industry group whose production expectations have increased.

- For the first time in two and a half years, farmers expect their on-farm spending to increase (net score of +2.5).

- For the first time in two and a half years, farmers expect to see a reduction in farm debt (net score of -15.0).

- Farmers are finding it increasingly difficult to recruit skilled and motivated staff (net score of +23.6).

- In February 2017, the greatest concern for farmers is farmgate & commodity prices (selected by 27.8% of respondents) followed by regulation and compliance costs (selected by 17.2% of respondents). At the same time, farmers perceive the highest priorities for the Government to be to reduce regulation and compliance costs (selected by 16.0% of respondents) followed by general economy and business development (selected by 15.2% of respondents).

"This is good news but the improvement in confidence is fragile. The result was influenced heavily by dairy farmers who saw big increases in dairy commodity prices in the second half of 2016, which have since come back a bit," Federated Farmers president Dr William Rolleston says.

"The overall results mask differences between sectors. Dairy farmers are considerably more confident than their sheep and beef counterparts, whose confidence, especially in their own profitability, has if anything worsened. This reflects the dramatic improvement in dairy commodity prices in the second half of 2016, albeit off a low base, and slippage in meat and wool commodity prices.

"To illustrate, the ANZ Commodity Price Index for Dairy was up 41% in NZ Dollar terms from July to December, which enabled Fonterra to increase its milk price forecast for the current season to $6 per kg milk solids," says Rolleston.

"In contrast, the ANZ Commodity Price Index for Meat, Skins and Wool went down 6% over the same period. Sheep and beef cattle numbers have also continued to fall due to economic factors and the lingering impacts of drought in some areas.

"It’s an election year and Federated Farmers urges all political parties to look closely at the information on farmer concerns and priorities for government," he says.

More like this

Bye bye Paris?

OPINION: At its recent annual general meeting, Federated Farmers’ Auckland province called for New Zealand to withdraw from the Paris Agreement on Climate Change.

What's going on?

OPINION: On the 2nd of May, Agriculture Minister Todd McClay announced that the 'government remains on track to ban full farm-to-forestry conversion'.

Featured

NZEI unhappy with funding cut for teachers

Education union NZEI Te Riu Roa says that while educators will support the Government’s investment in learning support, they’re likely to be disappointed that it has been paid for by defunding expert teachers.

EU regulations unfairly threaten $200m exports

A European Union regulation ensuring that the products its citizens consume do not contribute to deforestation or forest degradation worldwide threatens $200m of New Zealand beef and leather exports.

Bionic Plus back on vet clinic shelves

A long-acting, controlled- release capsule designed to protect ewes from internal parasites during the lambing period is back on the market following a comprehensive reassessment.

National

Machinery & Products

New Holland combines crack 50 years

New Holland is celebrating the 50th anniversary of the introduction its Twin Rotor threshing and separation technology, which has evolved…

Iconic TPW Woolpress turns 50!

The company behind the iconic TPW Woolpress, which fundamentally changed the way wool is baled in Australia and New Zealand,…

» Latest Print Issues Online

The Hound

Double standards

OPINION: Imagine if the Hound had called the Minister of Finance the 'c-word' and accused her of "girl math".

Debt monster

OPINION: It's good news that Finance Minister Nicola Willis has slashed $1.1 billion from new spending, citing "a seismic global…

» Connect with Rural News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter