Editorial: Hunting Policy Misses The Mark
OPINION: As the general election approaches, political parties are churning out policies in the hope of attracting more votes.
"Printing $5 notes would set off an inflationary bomb that risks returning New Zealand to the dark days of double-digit interest rates," says Bruce Wills, Federated Farmers president.
"Our dollar's strength has been based on an economy 'less bad' than many others plus high levels of government borrowing.
"Just look at the way our dollar dropped off the back of improved US jobs figures. Better news from other countries will help to drive our dollar lower.
"This is why quantitative easing is and remains a 'break glass in case of fire' policy option - a last desperate option only.
"New Zealand is nowhere near such desperate measures because our Official Cash Rate is 2.5% versus 0.5% in the United Kingdom, 0.25% in the United States and 0.10% in Japan.
"As an export-led economy we need to keep a strong lid on our inflation because we import a fair slice of it from those we trade with. Low global inflation won't last forever and if we stoke domestic inflation by printing dollars, we will be hammered by importing more from overseas.
"We are not alone with a strong dollar because the Canadian is up 60% against the greenback. An article I read on Canada could apply to New Zealand, 'the strength of the economy in Great White North, which has in abundance what the rest of the world needs more and more of: commodities such as oil, basic materials and agriculture'.
"As for direct intervention, does anyone seriously believe our Reserve Bank can set then defend an exchange rate against all comers?
"Our solution is to ask if each dollar being spent by Government is the best use for that dollar.
"The dollar is being kept artificially high because of borrowing 'to smooth the rough edges' of recession.
"We must undertake reforms to strengthen our productivity and competitiveness. If exporters can generate greater revenue this means more money for our schools and hospitals.
"As a country we just need to stop borrowing so much money, we need to reduce government spending and return to surplus. This will take upward pressure off both interest rates and the currency," Wills says.
