ANZ Warns of Milk Price Risks as New Dairy Season Begins
The new dairy season is kicking off with plenty of risks to the forecast farmgate price, both upside and downside, says ANZ agricultural economist Matt Dilly.
Troubled Canterbury milk processor, Synlait has delivered more bad news to its shareholders.
The listed milk processor says most of its farmer suppliers have submitted mandatory two-year cessation notices and this could affect milk supply from 2026 financial year.
The company says it’s unlikely to meet three of its banking covenants as of July 3. It has also withdrawn subsidiary Dairyworks from the market after failing to reach a binding offer with potential buyers.
Synlait released a market update on the Australian Stock Exchange yesterday. The NZX was closed due to a public holiday.
Synlait says retention of milk supply remains “a critical priority”.
“Farmer suppliers have signalled they want to see Synlait’s balance sheet deleveraged, so advance rates can be lifted further,” the company says.
It notes that submitting a cessation notice provides an option, rather than a clear intention to sign with other processors.
Synlait chief executive Grant Watson says the company still “presents an excellent value proposition to farmers”.
It also announced that majority shareholder Bright Dairy of China was providing a $130m shareholder loan to prop up the company. Synlait will use the loan to pay off its senior lenders, due July 15.
Bright Dairy, which owns 39% of Synlait, is loaning the money under NZX rules, which means shareholder approval is required.
Synlait chair George Adams says it is grateful to support from Bright Dairy.
“We are actively working with Bright Dairy on the remaining work relating to this shareholder loan and a future equity raise.
“The shareholder loan, and the future equity raise, will enable Synlait to reduce its debt to a sustainable level.”
The company also announced a further revision of its expected gross profits.
It had earlier signalled an EBITDA range of $45m to $60m for the 2024 financial year. Yesterday, it said the EBITDA will now be at the lower end of the range.
Synlait is blaming softening of ingredient margins, increased financial costs and more inventory write-downs for the revised forecast results.
With the New Zealand/India Free Trade Agreement (FTA) dominating political debate here, India Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be visiting New Zealand next week.
Michelle and Tony Roberts didn't inherit the farming business they have today. They’ve built it from the ground up.
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Dr Tim Harwood, a seafood food safety research leader, has been awarded the 2026 Significant Contribution Award at the New Zealand Institute of Food Science and Technology (NZIFST) Food Industry Awards.
Today marks the first day of operations for Waikato Waters, a new council-controlled organisation established by six district councils to deliver water and wastewater services for their communities.
The Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) has announced has opened applications for the 2026/27 funding round of the Greenhouse Gas Inventory Research (GHGIR) fund.

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