Milk Powder Prices Rally: $10/kgMS Milk Price in Sight
Milk powder prices are continuing their merry run, firming up a potential $10/kgMS farmgate price this season.
Dairy farmers, still holding onto their Fonterra shares despite switching milk supply elsewhere or exiting the industry, now face a stricter share sell-down requirement.
This follows concerns from rural professionals and farmers that the co-op could face a potential overhang of shares impacting the market by 2036.
Ceased shareholders, holding onto their Fonterra shares, is also seen as counter to shares being owned by supplying members as foundational to the co-operative structure.
From the compliance date of the season beginning 1 June 2027, ceased suppliers will move to a more staged reduction requirement for shares they may choose to hold onto after ceasing supply.
They will need to either:
or
Fonterra’s board wrote to farmer shareholders about the changes this morning.
Speaking at the co-op’s annual meeting in Hamilton this morning, chair Peter McBride says the changes further strengthen the co-operative's capital structure going forward.
When flexible shareholding was introduced in 2023, the timeframe by which ceased suppliers could hold onto shares was extended to provide flexibility during a period when Fonterra's share price was adjusting to the change.
Since then, the co-op's performance has strengthened, supporting higher returns to shareholders and a recovery in the share price.
Over time, this has contributed to a build-up of shares held by ceased suppliers and their permitted transferees. As November 6, 2026, ceased suppliers and their permitted transferees held approximately 213 million shares, around 13% of shares on issue.
McBride says the punchline is that the value of a Fonterra share has more than doubled since 2021, a return of around 132%, or about 17% per year.
“Given those returns, it's no surprise that many ceased suppliers are holding onto their shares
for longer – and that could become a problem over time.”
Dairy farmers, still holding onto their Fonterra shares despite switching milk supply elsewhere or exiting the industry, now face a stricter share sell-down requirement.
Hamilton-based agritech company Aimer Farming has completed a $3 million capital raise to support its next stage of growth, including a beef farming product due to launch in 2027.
When dairy manager Miriam Lauridsen learned the farm, she was joining held weekly health and safety meetings, she initially thought that was “a bit over the top”. Experiencing that culture changed her mind.
Nominations are open for the 2027 Fonterra Dairy Woman of the Year Award.
Keeping up with pasture moisture demands is likely to be the key challenge for dairy farmers during this season’s El Niño weather pattern, says Blue Skies Weather & Climate Services meteorologist Tony Trewinnard.
Farmers have until the end of this week to help shape DairyNZ’s future focus.
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