Tuesday, 11 December 2018 08:55

GDT rise unexciting – economists

Written by 
Don't get excited just yet. Don't get excited just yet.

Economists aren't too excited about last week’s 2.2% overall lift in the Global Dairy Trade price index.

Anne Boniface, Westpac senior economist, says there was a 2.5% lift in whole milk powder prices, while butter and AMF prices also rose, partially unwinding the big falls seen in the previous auction. But the lift did not fully unwind the weaker dairy prices through November.

“Local conditions for most dairy farmers remain very favourable, and strong momentum in New Zealand milk production likely continued in November.”

Westpac is picking a $6.10/kgMS milk price for the season. “As we’ve noted previously, this forecast continues to assume we see a modest improvement in dairy prices in early 2019, with the risk of a further downward revision if this fails to eventuate in the coming months.”

ASB’s senior rural economist Nathan Penny says the rise snapped a run of seven consecutive falls.

“Nonetheless, we are suspicious. First, the rise is similar to falls in the US currency over the past fortnight. In particular, the Chinese yuan has lifted, making the USD-priced products cheaper for Chinese buyers.”

More like this

Featured

IrrigationNZ warns RMA reform may miss water needs

Irrigation NZ is warning that the government's Resource Management Act (RMA) reform risks falling short of its objectives unless water use for food production and water storage infrastructure are clearly recognised in the goals at the top of the new system.

National

Trev Integrates with LIC MINDA

Farm software outfit Trev has released new integrations with LIC, giving farmers a more connected view of animal performance across…

Machinery & Products

» Latest Print Issues Online

Milking It

Happy Days

OPINION: The good news keeps getting better for NZ dairy farmers.

Begging Bowl

OPINION: With export of livestock by sea dead in the water, opponents of the Gene Technology Bill think they can…

» Connect with Dairy News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter