New Zealand Wool Prices Hit Highest Levels Since 2011 Amid Tight Supply and Surging Demand
Strong competition and tightening supply have seen wool reach its highest prices paid at auction since 2011.
In another sign of improving agribusiness sentiment, two listed companies have lifted their forecast earnings for the year.
Fruit grower and trader Seeka expects forecast full year earnings guidance at a profit before tax level of between $21 million and $25m. The forecast range compares to a loss of $21m last year.
Rural trader PGG Wrightson is forecasting earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) of $51m for year ending June 2025, compared to $44m last year.
The company says that while sheep farmers are facing challenging market conditions with soft returns, there are however some positive indicators suggesting the start of a turnaround, including good quality yields in the horticulture sector.
Seeka, a major player in the hort sector, attributes its improved forecast to a clear strategy, excellent fruit quality and performance, efficiencies and margins across the business. The turnaround has prompted Seeka to declare a dividend of 10c/share to be paid on January 25, 2025.
Seeka chief executive Michael Franks notes that a full year dividend is normally paid in April.
This year the full year dividend has been varied to provide a quicker restoration of dividends and provide an earlier return on investment to Seeka's shareholders, he says.
Franks says the company has achieved a good year.
Over at PGW, chair Garry Moore notes that the rural servicing market in New Zealand remains relatively challenged.
"Geopolitical tensions are contributing to cautiousness in the market and a slower than expected recovery in New Zealand's key export market. China continues to dampen commodity prices," he adds.
Sheep farmers are facing challenging market conditions with soft returns. Flock numbers are estimated to have reduced by 4.3%, down to 23.3 million. However, he notes confidence returning to the dairy sector with Fonterra and other processors forecasting a milk price of $9/kgMS for the season.
The avocado sector is entering the new season with a larger crop and positive market opportunities.
New Zealand growers have always adapted to changing conditions, but one challenge is steadily gaining ground across the horticulture sector: resistance.
Blueberries have the potential to become a major horticultural export, earning up to $150 million within the next three to five years.
Twenty five secondary school students from around New Zealand recently completed a three day residential programme designed to explore career opportunities across the food and fibre production supply chain.
Conversions of sheep and beef farms to forestry have slowed, however new research from Beef + Lamb New Zealand (B+LNZ) suggests land of value for food production remains at risk.
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