Rabobank flags rising global dairy prices, warns of downside risks ahead
While global dairy commodity prices continue to climb in most key exporting countries, the second half of the year is expected to bring increased downside risks.
The overnight Global Dairy Trade auction saw the price index fall by a slim 0.8% compared to the previous event.
Total volumes sold were 20% lower, aligned to seasonal declines, and broad expectations. Both WMP and SMP prices increased, 0.1% versus the last event. Prices for butter and AMF took a hit, down 5.8% and 2.4%, respectively.
Bailey says diving into the numbers, at first blush there is not a big story to tell.
“Offer volumes were largely unchanged for core products WMP and SMP.
“There was an increase in butter and AMF volumes, 42% and 3.5% respectively – helping to explain their price falls.”
Key results
AMF index down 2.4%, average price US$3,973/MT
Butter index down 5.8%, average price US$3,867/MT
Ched index down 6.8%, average price US$4,115/MT
LAC index up 7.9%, average price US$1,153/MT
RenCas index down 5.1%, average price US$8,891/MT
SMP index up 0.1%, average price US$2,373/MT
WMP index up 0.1%, average price US$2,745/MT
