Tuesday, 13 October 2015 12:00

Fonterra predicts price rise

Written by 
The GDT whole milk powder index lifted 12.9% overnight. The GDT whole milk powder index lifted 12.9% overnight.

Global Dairy Trade prices are coming back relatively quickly and Fonterra expects whole milk powder prices to keep climbing over the next six months, says Fonterra chairman John Wilson.

The overall index rose by a further 9.9% at the GDT auction last week.

The GDT whole milk powder index lifted 12.9% overnight, with an average price US$2824/MT. The skim milk powder index rose 13.4% with the average skim milk price at US$2267/MT.

"It is good to see prices moving up," Wilson told Dairy News. "We have known right through that the current global prices are unsustainably low.

"They are the result of a unique situation where we had far too much supply in 2014 because of good weather and really high prices globally, so dairy farmers produced more milk. We had the impact of Russia and China -- the two big demand markets of the world -- with Russia closing its market effectively, particularly to European products, and China changing its in buying profile.

"You had this reaction where global dairy prices dropped to unsustainably low levels. We are now seeing that market slowly come back into balance and we believe it will do so over the next six months or so.

"Pleasingly we are seeing it come up relatively quickly and we would expect whole milk powder prices to continue to climb to that US$3000-$3500/MT level over the next six months, maybe earlier. It will depend on where milk production comes from and how much milk is produced globally over the next six months."

More like this

Still a slow boat to China!

Hopes of NZ sheepmeat prices picking up anytime soon in the country's key export market of China looks highly unlikely.

$8 final milk price likely

An $8/kgMS farm gate milk price is still on the cards with less than six weeks left to run this season.

Featured

Editorial: War's over

OPINION: In recent years farmers have been crying foul of unworkable and expensive regulations.

NZ-EU FTA enters into force

Trade Minister Todd McClay says Kiwi exporters will be $100 million better off today as the NZ-EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA) comes into force.

National

Council lifeline for A&P Show

Christchurch City Council and the Canterbury Agricultural and Pastoral Association (CAPA) have signed an agreement which will open more of…

Struggling? Give us a call

ASB head of rural banking Aidan Gent is encouraging farmers to speak to their banks when they are struggling.

Machinery & Products

New name, new ideas

KGM New Zealand, is part of the London headquartered Inchcape Group, who increased its NZ presence in August 2023 with…

» Latest Print Issues Online

Milking It

Takeover bid?

OPINION: Canterbury milk processor Synlait is showing no sign of bouncing back from its financial doldrums.

» Connect with Dairy News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter