Tuesday, 31 May 2016 07:55

Long-term looks good

Written by 
Fonterra chief executive Theo Spierings. Fonterra chief executive Theo Spierings.

Fonterra chief executive Theo Spierings says the long term fundamentals for global dairy remain positive.

Demand is expected to increase by 2-3% a year due to the growing world population, increasing middle classes in Asia, urbanisation and favourable demographics.

"In addition to global supply growth slowing, we are seeing imports into major dairy markets improving compared to a year ago," he says

"China dairy consumption growth remains positive and its demand for imports has been steady over recent GlobalDairyTrade events.

"We expect these drivers to result in the globally traded market rebalancing.

"We will remain focused on securing the best possible returns for our farmers by converting their milk into high-value products for customers around the world."

There is no change to the current 2015/16 season forecast farmgate milk price, which is being held at $3.90/kgMS.

 

Tough number to hear

It's a tough number for farmers to hear but it's the reality of where the market is at present, says Shareholders Council chairman Duncan Coull.

"The signal farmers have received from their board is that while there are encouraging signs and the market should move in a positive direction over the next 12 months, it will be slow to do so.

"However, we farmers are well tuned to volatility... and will have this front of mind as we work through our budgets for the coming year."

Coull says the $4.25/kgMS is a forecast for a season not even begun.

"So, as we move through the year it is vital that farmers continue to read the signals being delivered by the market and our co-op, and act appropriately.

"Fundamental to this is Fonterra communicating any significant pricing shifts to our farmers in a timely and transparent manner."

Coull also acknowledged that the opening advance rate of $3.0/kgMS indicated the strength of the co-op's balance sheet.

"Farmers can look to this as an indication that their business is in a strong position, and that their board is aware of the current situation onfarm and has a desire to relieve cashflow pressure where possible.

"However, the current environment is placing additional stress on us all, so [we must] continue to stay engaged in our communities and support our friends and neighbours."

More like this

Fonterra's in good shape

Fonterra released its interim results last month, showing a continuation of the strong earnings performance delivered by the co-op through the 2023 financial year. Here’s what Fonterra chair Peter McBride and chief executive Miles Hurrell said about the results…

China trade

OPINION: Last week's revelation that data relating to New Zealand MPs was stolen amid Chinese state-sponsored cyber espionage targeting two arms of the country’s Parliament could test the long-standing trade relations between the two countries.

Featured

Vaccinate against new lepto strain

A vet is calling for all animals to be vaccinated against a new strain of leptospirosis (lepto) discovered on New Zealand dairy farms in recent years.

TV series to combat food waste

Rural banker Rabobank is partnering with Food Rescue Kitchen on a new TV series which airs this weekend that aims to shine a light on the real and growing issues of food waste, food poverty and social isolation in New Zealand.

National

Frontline biosecurity 'untouchable'

Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard has reiterated that 'frontline' biosecurity services within Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) will not be cut…

Machinery & Products

New name, new ideas

KGM New Zealand, is part of the London headquartered Inchcape Group, who increased its NZ presence in August 2023 with…

All-terrain fert spreading mode

Effluent specialists the Samson Group have developed a new double unloading system to help optimise uphill and downhill organic fertiliser…

» Latest Print Issues Online

Milking It

Plant-based bubble bursts

OPINION: Talking about plant-based food: “Chicken-free chicken” start-up Sunfed has had its valuation slashed to zero by major investor Blackbird…

» Connect with Dairy News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter