Rabobank 2026 Outlook: Geopolitics shapes global agriculture
The global agricultural landscape has entered a new phase where geopolitics – not only traditional market forces – will dictate agricultural trade flows, prices, and production decisions.
Rabobank’s Farm 2 Fork (F2F) summit in Sydney was all about food – but briefly became about fashion as Dutch Queen Maxima took to the stage with husband King Willem-Alexander to congratulate winners in the Food Bytes! competition.
King Willem Alexander also officially opened the conference, speaking about how a small country like the Netherlands had been able to become the world’s second largest exporter of food through technology and considered use of land.
Rabobank executive board member Berry Marttin spoke earlier on how in China today two thirds of all sales are done through web markets. Today the Dutch buy their food through traditional retailers but the internet is quickly changing that.
He says there will be fewer farmers and bigger farms and consolidation in the food companies.
Farmers will need to make sure they product what consumers want to eat. The current model is to produce and sell later. He says if you produce what the consumers want they will pay more – but who will get that money? Farmers need to ensure it comes to them.
The Food Bytes! Competition was for food companies with new innovations competing for investment funding.
The Government is set to announce two new acts to replace the contentious Resource Management Act (RMA) with the Prime Minister hinting that consents required by farmers could reduce by 46%.
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says withdrawing from the Paris Agreement on climate change would be “a really dumb move”.
The University of Waikato has broken ground on its new medical school building.
Undoubtedly the doyen of rural culture, always with a wry smile, our favourite ginger ninja, Te Radar, in conjunction with his wife Ruth Spencer, has recently released an enchanting, yet educational read centred around rural New Zealand in one hundred objects.
Farmers are being urged to keep on top of measures to control Cysticerus ovis - or sheep measles - following a spike in infection rates.
The avocado industry is facing an extremely challenging season with all parts of the supply chain, especially growers, being warned to prepare for any eventuality.

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